Model chance
- 21.9%
| Bet and eventEvent | Market | Price / book | Model Edge | Break-even | Quote observed | Details | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Liam Hicks OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 1.05 hits | 3.3%Est. chance 68.2% · Needed 64.9% | -185DraftKings | 3.3%Est. chance 68.2% · Needed 64.9%Price -185 | 64.9% | ||
Chandler Simpson OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 1.14 hits | 2.8%Est. chance 72.5% · Needed 69.7% | -230DraftKingsHeavy juice | 2.8%Est. chance 72.5% · Needed 69.7%Price -230Heavy juice | 69.7% | ||
Victor Mesa Jr. OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 0.84 hits | 2.4%Est. chance 58.9% · Needed 56.5% | -130BetOnline | 2.4%Est. chance 58.9% · Needed 56.5%Price -130 | 56.5% | ||
Jonathan Aranda OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 1.08 hits | 2.2%Est. chance 70.0% · Needed 67.8% | -211DraftKingsHeavy juice | 2.2%Est. chance 70.0% · Needed 67.8%Price -211Heavy juice | 67.8% | ||
Jonny Deluca OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 0.97 hits | 2.9%Est. chance 66.0% · Needed 63.1% | -171DraftKings | 2.9%Est. chance 66.0% · Needed 63.1%Price -171 | 63.1% | ||
Cooper Pratt OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 1.04 hits | 5.6%Est. chance 68.2% · Needed 62.7% | -168DraftKings | 5.6%Est. chance 68.2% · Needed 62.7%Price -168 | 62.7% | ||
| Jake Bauers OVERJake Bauers · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits · Line 0.5Projection: 1.01 hits | Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 1.01 hits | 6.8%Est. chance 66.5% · Needed 59.7% | -148DraftKings | 6.8%Est. chance 66.5% · Needed 59.7%Price -148 | 59.7% | ||
| Garrett Mitchell OVERGarrett Mitchell · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits · Line 0.5Projection: 1 hits | Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 1 hits | 9.4%Est. chance 66.6% · Needed 57.3% | -134DraftKings | 9.4%Est. chance 66.6% · Needed 57.3%Price -134 | 57.3% | ||
| Taylor Walls OVERTaylor Walls · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits · Line 0.5Projection: 0.7 hits | Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 0.7 hits | 6.2%Est. chance 52.9% · Needed 46.7% | +114DraftKings | 6.2%Est. chance 52.9% · Needed 46.7%Price +114 | 46.7% | ||
Richie Palacios OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 0.8 hits | 2.6%Est. chance 57.8% · Needed 55.2% | -123DraftKings | 2.6%Est. chance 57.8% · Needed 55.2%Price -123 | 55.2% | ||
David Hamilton OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 0.82 hits | 3.2%Est. chance 59.4% · Needed 56.1% | -128DraftKings | 3.2%Est. chance 59.4% · Needed 56.1%Price -128 | 56.1% | ||
| Brice Turang OVERBrice Turang · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits · Line 0.5Projection: 1.12 hits | Batter Hits | 0.5Projected 1.12 hits | 5.4%Est. chance 70.9% · Needed 65.5% | -190DraftKings | 5.4%Est. chance 70.9% · Needed 65.5%Price -190 | 65.5% | ||
| Jonathan Aranda OVERJonathan Aranda · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits Runs Rbis · Line 1.5Projection: 1.9 hits + runs + RBIs | Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 1.5Projected 1.9 hits + runs + RBIs | 3.5%Est. chance 53.2% · Needed 49.8% | +101DraftKings | 3.5%Est. chance 53.2% · Needed 49.8%Price +101 | 49.8% | ||
| David Hamilton OVERDavid Hamilton · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits Runs Rbis · Line 0.5Projection: 1.2 hits + runs + RBIs | Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 0.5Projected 1.2 hits + runs + RBIs | 8.1%Est. chance 69.5% · Needed 61.4% | -159DraftKings | 8.1%Est. chance 69.5% · Needed 61.4%Price -159 | 61.4% | ||
Jake Bauers OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 1.5Projected 1.8 hits + runs + RBIs | 1.4%Est. chance 48.0% · Needed 46.5% | +115DraftKings | 1.4%Est. chance 48.0% · Needed 46.5%Price +115 | 46.5% | ||
| Taylor Walls OVERTaylor Walls · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits Runs Rbis · Line 0.5Projection: 1.2 hits + runs + RBIs | Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 0.5Projected 1.2 hits + runs + RBIs | 14.2%Est. chance 69.6% · Needed 55.4% | -124DraftKings | 14.2%Est. chance 69.6% · Needed 55.4%Price -124 | 55.4% | ||
| Garrett Mitchell OVERGarrett Mitchell · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits Runs Rbis · Line 0.5Projection: 1.6 hits + runs + RBIs | Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 0.5Projected 1.6 hits + runs + RBIs | 16.5%Est. chance 78.4% · Needed 61.8% | -162DraftKings | 16.5%Est. chance 78.4% · Needed 61.8%Price -162 | 61.8% | ||
Ryan Vilade OVERCautionLimited recent starting-role history: 1 games. |
Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 0.5Projected 1.6 hits + runs + RBIs | 12.4%Est. chance 74.8% · Needed 62.4% | -166DraftKings | 12.4%Est. chance 74.8% · Needed 62.4%Price -166 | 62.4% | ||
Cooper Pratt OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 1.5Projected 1.7 hits + runs + RBIs | 5.2%Est. chance 50.5% · Needed 45.2% | +121DraftKings | 5.2%Est. chance 50.5% · Needed 45.2%Price +121 | 45.2% | ||
Liam Hicks OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 1.5Projected 1.9 hits + runs + RBIs | 4.1%Est. chance 51.8% · Needed 47.6% | +110DraftKings | 4.1%Est. chance 51.8% · Needed 47.6%Price +110 | 47.6% | ||
| Richie Palacios OVERRichie Palacios · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits Runs Rbis · Line 0.5Projection: 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs | Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 0.5Projected 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs | 14.6%Est. chance 74.4% · Needed 59.8% | -149DraftKings | 14.6%Est. chance 74.4% · Needed 59.8%Price -149 | 59.8% | ||
| Brice Turang OVERBrice Turang · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Batter Hits Runs Rbis · Line 1.5Projection: 1.9 hits + runs + RBIs | Batter Hits Runs Rbis | 1.5Projected 1.9 hits + runs + RBIs | 3.3%Est. chance 52.8% · Needed 49.5% | +102DraftKings | 3.3%Est. chance 52.8% · Needed 49.5%Price +102 | 49.5% | ||
Jonathan Aranda OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Total Bases | 1.5Projected 1.7 total bases | 2.7%Est. chance 42.4% · Needed 39.7% | +152DraftKings | 2.7%Est. chance 42.4% · Needed 39.7%Price +152 | 39.7% | ||
Christian Yelich OVERCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Batter Total Bases | 0.5Projected 1.6 total bases | 1.8%Est. chance 65.5% · Needed 63.6% | -175BetMGM | 1.8%Est. chance 65.5% · Needed 63.6%Price -175 | 63.6% |
No Plays match these filters.
No Home Run looks at the chance that neither team homers. Home Run Probability looks at a named hitter going deep.
| Selection and eventEvent | Model chanceModel chance | Details |
|---|---|---|
| No home run in gameMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 21.9% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT No home run in gameMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
Ballpark
Milwaukee Brewers starter
Milwaukee Brewers lineup
Tampa Bay Rays starter
Tampa Bay Rays lineup
Weather
| ||
No current markets match these filters.
| Selection and eventEvent | Market | Line | Selection | Projection | Model edge | Market price | Model edgeModel Edge | Book | Quote observed | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan ArandaJonathan Aranda · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · OVER · Line 0.5 | Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.15 home runs | 4.1% | +900 | 4.1%Price +900 | espnbet | ||
Garrett MitchellCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.1 home runs | -1.8% | +800 | -1.8%Price +800 | espnbet | ||
Yandy DiazCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.12 home runs | -0.2% | +800 | -0.2%Price +800 | espnbet | ||
Junior CamineroCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.24 home runs | 0.5% | +375 | 0.5%Price +375 | espnbet | ||
Sal FrelickCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.05 home runs | -2.9% | +1200 | -2.9%Price +1200 | espnbet | ||
Chandler SimpsonCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0 home runs | -4.6% | +2000 | -4.6%Price +2000 | espnbet | ||
Richie PalaciosCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.09 home runs | 1.2% | +1200 | 1.2%Price +1200 | espnbet | ||
William ContrerasCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.14 home runs | -3.2% | +525 | -3.2%Price +525 | espnbet | ||
Cooper PrattCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.05 home runs | -3.1% | +1200 | -3.1%Price +1200 | espnbet | ||
Ryan ViladeCautionLimited recent starting-role history: 1 games. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.12 home runs | 1.5% | +900 | 1.5%Price +900 | espnbet | ||
| Liam HicksLiam Hicks · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · OVER · Line 0.5 | Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.14 home runs | 4.5% | +1100 | 4.5%Price +1100 | espnbet | ||
Jackson ChourioCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.19 home runs | -1.9% | +425 | -1.9%Price +425 | espnbet | ||
Jake BauersCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.2 home runs | 0.8% | +475 | 0.8%Price +475 | espnbet | ||
Jonny DelucaCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.11 home runs | 1.8% | +1000 | 1.8%Price +1000 | espnbet | ||
Taylor WallsCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.02 home runs | -4.2% | +1600 | -4.2%Price +1600 | espnbet | ||
Christian YelichCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.13 home runs | -2.1% | +600 | -2.1%Price +600 | espnbet | ||
David HamiltonCautionThe estimated advantage disappears in a plausible workload scenario. |
Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.04 home runs | -3.5% | +1200 | -3.5%Price +1200 | espnbet | ||
| Brice TurangBrice Turang · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · OVER · Line 0.5 | Home run | 0.5 | OVER | 0.17 home runs | 5.2% | +900 | 5.2%Price +900 | espnbet |
| Selection and eventEvent | Model chanceModel chance | Details |
|---|---|---|
| Brice TurangMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 15.2% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Brice TurangMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Chandler SimpsonMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 0.2% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Chandler SimpsonMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Christian YelichMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 12.2% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Christian YelichMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Cooper PrattMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 4.6% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Cooper PrattMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| David HamiltonMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 4.1% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT David HamiltonMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Garrett MitchellMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 9.3% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Garrett MitchellMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Jackson ChourioMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 17.1% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Jackson ChourioMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Jake BauersMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 18.2% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Jake BauersMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Jonathan ArandaMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 14.1% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Jonathan ArandaMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Jonny DelucaMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 10.9% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Jonny DelucaMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Junior CamineroMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 21.5% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Junior CamineroMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Liam HicksMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 12.9% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Liam HicksMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Richie PalaciosMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 8.9% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Richie PalaciosMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Ryan ViladeMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 11.5% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Ryan ViladeMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Sal FrelickMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 4.8% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Sal FrelickMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Taylor WallsMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 1.7% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Taylor WallsMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| William ContrerasMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 12.8% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT William ContrerasMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
| Yandy DiazMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · | 10.9% | |
MLB · GAME SNAPSHOT Yandy DiazMilwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays · Model chance
Price
Game context
| ||
No current markets match these filters.
No plays are showing for these markets right now. We’ll add them when current lines and game details are ready.