Free Open BetaMLBNFLCFBNBA & WNBA · Coming Soon
College football

Today’s CFB Plays

Updated

2996 analyzed bets.

Build My Slate

Match any selected game, any selected team, and the time window together. Search and bet type also apply.

Select one or more games.
Select one or more teams.
Saturday 11 AM–2 PM is the noon window; 2–7 PM is the 3:30 PM window. Primetime is 7 PM+ on any day. Other kickoffs: Any time.
Filters
Show

How our signals work

CFB Plays have positive model-estimated return at the recorded price. Top Plays require at least 2.5 percentage points of model edge and a recommendation score of at least 5 points, including at most ±2 points of sourced betting-split confirmation. Model edge and probability stay unchanged. Estimates are not proven profits; weather uncertainty is shown separately.

Inputs vary by sport and market. Model estimates and additional intel are shown separately.

CFB covers only full-game spreads, moneylines and totals. These are model estimates, not guarantees. Player status and exact book/line context remain in Details.

Core model signals

Opportunity & role
Expected chances to produce the outcome: plate appearances, batters faced and innings in MLB; attempts, carries, routes and targets in NFL.
Matchup & performance
Player and team skill, opponent tendencies, recent usage, and relevant pitcher-batter or offense-defense matchups.
Game context
Lineups or inactives, starting roles, bullpen or team availability, venue, weather, pace, quarterback status and likely game script, where relevant and available.
Outcome distribution
Related game and player outcomes come from a shared model. Over, Under and push chances are evaluated from that distribution at the listed line.

Intel layer

Public intel
Source-identified news and research can add timely lineup, injury, role or game context when available. Missing or unconfirmed reports remain labeled as such.
Market intel
Line movement, betting splits and sharp-money indicators add context when available. Source, time and exact-line or broader-event scope are shown when supplied; this intel does not silently change model chance.

Reading the numbers

Projection & probability
Projection is an average in market units, not a hit probability. Model probability estimates how often this exact selection would win under the model’s assumptions; it is not a measured hit rate.
Price comparison / model edge
Model probability minus the price-required break-even probability. For example, 60% − 50% = +10% model edge. The % sign denotes a difference between probabilities—not a 10% hit chance, relative improvement or return. Known pushes or voids are accounted for where supplied.
Quote & movement
Book, line, odds and observation time identify the price being compared. Any opening-to-current movement is shown as context, not proof of value.
Playable to
For published Plays only, the worst supplied odds that still qualify at the listed line and book. Always check the current quote.

Plays (2996)

Bet and eventEventMarketPrice / bookModel EdgeBreak-evenQuote observedDetails
Marshall Thundering Herd -3Marshall Thundering Herd at Old Dominion Monarchs · Game Spread · Line -3Projection: -8.6 points Game Spread -3Projected -8.6 points 18.0%Est. chance 67.3% · Needed 49.3% -106BetRivers 18.0%Est. chance 67.3% · Needed 49.3%Price -106 49.3%
Marshall Thundering Herd MLMarshall Thundering Herd at Old Dominion Monarchs · Game MoneylineProjection: 76.4% win Game Moneyline —Projected 76.4% win 18.0%Est. chance 76.4% · Needed 58.3% -140BetUS 18.0%Est. chance 76.4% · Needed 58.3%Price -140 58.3%
North Carolina Tar Heels +14.5Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels · Game Spread · Line 14.5Projection: +9.3 points Game Spread 14.5Projected +9.3 points 13.9%Est. chance 66.3% · Needed 52.4% -110BetMGM 13.9%Est. chance 66.3% · Needed 52.4%Price -110 52.4%
Purdue Boilermakers MLPurdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions · Game MoneylineProjection: 41.6% win Game Moneyline —Projected 41.6% win 14.2%Est. chance 41.6% · Needed 27.4% +265BetRivers 14.2%Est. chance 41.6% · Needed 27.4%Price +265 27.4%
Oklahoma State Cowboys -8.5Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones · Game Spread · Line -8.5Projection: -14.8 points Game Spread -8.5Projected -14.8 points 13.7%Est. chance 65.1% · Needed 51.5% -106LowVig.ag 13.7%Est. chance 65.1% · Needed 51.5%Price -106 51.5%
Ole Miss Rebels -13.5Auburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels · Game Spread · Line -13.5Projection: -19.1 points Game Spread -13.5Projected -19.1 points 12.6%Est. chance 63.6% · Needed 51.0% -104FanDuel 12.6%Est. chance 63.6% · Needed 51.0%Price -104 51.0%
NC State Wolfpack -7California Golden Bears at NC State Wolfpack · Game Spread · Line -7Projection: -13.4 points Game Spread -7Projected -13.4 points 13.0%Est. chance 62.5% · Needed 49.5% -103LowVig.ag 13.0%Est. chance 62.5% · Needed 49.5%Price -103 49.5%
Over 41Minnesota Golden Gophers at Indiana Hoosiers · Game Total · Line 41Projection: 47.5 points Game Total 41Projected 47.5 points 12.8%Est. chance 63.7% · Needed 50.9% -108LowVig.ag 12.8%Est. chance 63.7% · Needed 50.9%Price -108 50.9%
Over 58Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at South Alabama Jaguars · Game Total · Line 58Projection: 63.5 points Game Total 58Projected 63.5 points 12.2%Est. chance 63.0% · Needed 50.8% -108LowVig.ag 12.2%Est. chance 63.0% · Needed 50.8%Price -108 50.8%
Washington Huskies MLWashington Huskies at Nebraska Cornhuskers · Game MoneylineProjection: 38.0% win Game Moneyline —Projected 38.0% win 12.0%Est. chance 38.0% · Needed 26.0% +285BetRivers 12.0%Est. chance 38.0% · Needed 26.0%Price +285 26.0%
Illinois Fighting Illini MLIllinois Fighting Illini at Maryland Terrapins · Game MoneylineProjection: 66.6% win Game Moneyline —Projected 66.6% win 11.6%Est. chance 66.6% · Needed 55.0% -122FanDuel 11.6%Est. chance 66.6% · Needed 55.0%Price -122 55.0%
Under 56.5Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at UL Monroe Warhawks · Game Total · Line 56.5Projection: 51.3 points Game Total 56.5Projected 51.3 points 11.2%Est. chance 63.5% · Needed 52.4% -110BetMGM 11.2%Est. chance 63.5% · Needed 52.4%Price -110 52.4%
Under 56Delaware Blue Hens at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · Game Total · Line 56Projection: 53.2 points Game Total 56Projected 53.2 points 10.7%Est. chance 61.9% · Needed 51.2% -110MyBookie.ag 10.7%Est. chance 61.9% · Needed 51.2%Price -110 51.2%
Under 58.5Oregon State Beavers at Fresno State Bulldogs · Game Total · Line 58.5Projection: 55.4 points Game Total 58.5Projected 55.4 points 8.8%Est. chance 62.7% · Needed 53.9% -117BetRivers 8.8%Est. chance 62.7% · Needed 53.9%Price -117 53.9%
BYU Cougars -16.5Arizona State Sun Devils at BYU Cougars · Game Spread · Line -16.5Projection: -21.0 points Game Spread -16.5Projected -21.0 points 9.6%Est. chance 61.0% · Needed 51.5% -106LowVig.ag 9.6%Est. chance 61.0% · Needed 51.5%Price -106 51.5%
Florida State Seminoles -6.5Clemson Tigers at Florida State Seminoles · Game Spread · Line -6.5Projection: -9.6 points Game Spread -6.5Projected -9.6 points 8.1%Est. chance 58.6% · Needed 50.5% -102FanDuel 8.1%Est. chance 58.6% · Needed 50.5%Price -102 50.5%
Western Michigan Broncos -13.5
Caution

A different personnel setup could erase this play’s edge at the listed line and price.

Bowling Green Falcons at Western Michigan Broncos · Game Spread · Line -13.5Projection: -16.8 points
Game Spread -13.5Projected -16.8 points 7.1%Est. chance 58.3% · Needed 51.2% -105FanDuel 7.1%Est. chance 58.3% · Needed 51.2%Price -105 51.2%
Under 58.5Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Georgia State Panthers · Game Total · Line 58.5Projection: 55.2 points Game Total 58.5Projected 55.2 points 9.9%Est. chance 63.2% · Needed 53.3% -114LowVig.ag 9.9%Est. chance 63.2% · Needed 53.3%Price -114 53.3%
Charlotte 49ers MLTulane Green Wave at Charlotte 49ers · Game MoneylineProjection: 33.0% win Game Moneyline —Projected 33.0% win 9.9%Est. chance 33.0% · Needed 23.1% +333BetMGM 9.9%Est. chance 33.0% · Needed 23.1%Price +333 23.1%
North Carolina Tar Heels MLMiami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels · Game MoneylineProjection: 26.3% win Game Moneyline —Projected 26.3% win 9.7%Est. chance 26.3% · Needed 16.7% +500BetMGM 9.7%Est. chance 26.3% · Needed 16.7%Price +500 16.7%
NC State Wolfpack MLCalifornia Golden Bears at NC State Wolfpack · Game MoneylineProjection: 81.1% win Game Moneyline —Projected 81.1% win 9.7%Est. chance 81.1% · Needed 71.4% -250BetMGMHeavy juice 9.7%Est. chance 81.1% · Needed 71.4%Price -250Heavy juice 71.4%
Under 58.5Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones · Game Total · Line 58.5Projection: 53.6 points Game Total 58.5Projected 53.6 points 8.3%Est. chance 62.9% · Needed 54.5% -120FanDuel 8.3%Est. chance 62.9% · Needed 54.5%Price -120 54.5%
South Alabama Jaguars MLLouisiana Tech Bulldogs at South Alabama Jaguars · Game MoneylineProjection: 44.6% win Game Moneyline —Projected 44.6% win 9.5%Est. chance 44.6% · Needed 35.1% +185Bovada 9.5%Est. chance 44.6% · Needed 35.1%Price +185 35.1%
Ole Miss Rebels MLAuburn Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels · Game MoneylineProjection: 92.0% win Game Moneyline —Projected 92.0% win 9.0%Est. chance 92.0% · Needed 83.1% -490FanDuelHeavy juice 9.0%Est. chance 92.0% · Needed 83.1%Price -490Heavy juice 83.1%